Hydroelectric Power Modeling and Analysis
HydroSim©
is a dynamic programming model that simulates the hourly
operations of hydroelectric generating facilities. The
model solves the economic dispatch of
thermally-integrated hydroelectric power generating
systems.
The
model incorporates complex environmental restrictions
including total water release, minimum flow, maximum
flow, reservoir elevation, and upward and downward
ramping restrictions. The model can be customized to
capture additional environmental and regulatory
restrictions, including those that limit hourly changes
in reservoir elevations, and other factors that affect
the operation of hydroelectric facilities, including
spinning reserve requirements, and generator by-pass. In
addition, the model incorporates nonlinear head effects
and can be solved for both near-term (e.g., daily and
weekly) to long-term (monthly and annual) time horizons.
The user can specify hourly market prices, load, and
other variables to offer a completely customized model
for virtually any hydroelectric generating facility. The
model is internally consistent and has been peer reviewed
for publication in a leading professional economics
journal.
As a
result of this flexibility, HydroSim© has a broad
range of applications including estimating the effects
that alternative environmental and regulatory
restrictions, changes in wholesale market prices, and
other factors have on hourly water release and generation
patterns. It can be used for develop cash-flow estimates
for valuing hydroelectric facilities. HydroSim©
can also be used to develop water release patterns that
allow hydrologists, ecologists, and other natural
scientists to determine the effects that alternative dam
operations have on the physical downstream environment.
The Base Version of HydroSim©
treats an individual hydroelectric facility and predicts
the pattern of hydroelectric generation and purchases for
resale that satisfy firm power contract commitments,
subject to environmental and regulatory restrictions.
The Advanced Version of HydroSim©
models hydraulically coupled facilities that include more
than one dam connected by a river. In this version, water
releases from the upstream facility contribute to the
inflows of the downstream facility. As in the base
version, environmental and regulatory restrictions,
demand, prices, spillage, and other factors can be
integrated into the advanced version of HydroSim© on an
individual facility basis. The figure below shows hourly
generation and purchases for resale from the advanced
version of HydroSim applied to two
facilities.

HydroSim© was developed by Brian
Edwards (Brian K. Edwards Associates), Silvio Flaim
(Flaim and Associates), and Richard Howitt (Department of
Agricultural Economics, University of California, Davis).
HydroSim© is copyright by Brian K. Edwards,
1997-2007.